Only 19 Percent of Kenyans will vote YES to BBI, According to TIFA polls

 

TIFA polls news

Among all Kenyans, there is a nearly even split between those who do and do not favour having parliament enact some of the BBI proposals that do not require a referendum (i.e., “minimum reforms” – 41% in favour, 45% opposed).

Only 19 percent of Kenyans would support the Constitutional Amendment Bill (BBI) 2021 if it were put to a vote.


31 percent would vote against it, 18 percent would not vote at all, 25 percent are undecided, and 7 percent hold no opinion.

A clear plurality of Kenyans (34%) consider having a referendum on the proposed BBI reforms before the next election as “not likely at all”, a proportion that is more than four times that of those who consider this possibility as “certain” (8%).

Overall, there has been a marked drop since December in the proportion of Kenyans stating that they would vote “yes” to approve the BBI reform package in a referendum (from 29% to 19%).

Among those who indicated they would vote “no” in a BBI referendum, those proposals that received the most positive mentions are increased budgetary allocation to the counties (10%) and the creation of 70 new parliamentary constituencies (5%)

TIFA polls news

 

Among those prepared to vote ‘yes’ in a forthcoming BBI referendum, the proposals attracting the most negative mentions are the increased budgetary allocation to the counties (9%) and the creation of 70 new parliamentary constituencies (8%).


As of now, almost twice as many Kenyans say they would vote “no” to reject the BBI Constitutional Amendment bill as would vote “yes” to approve it (31% vs. 19%), with another substantial proportion (18%) stating they would not vote at all.

There are clear, if modest, contrasts regarding the perceived motivations for BBI among supporters of the main political parties. UDA supporters view it as “an effort to influence the next election”

 


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