Ruto Tops Infotrak Poll for 2027 Election At 32%, Opposition 12%

President Ruto leads the pack in the latest Infotrak poll for the 2027 Kenya election as voters across Nairobi and rural counties signal strong backing for the incumbent amid economic pressures and shifting alliances. The survey released this week shows him commanding 32 percent support, a figure that places him far ahead of rivals and sparks fresh debate on what comes next for the country’s leadership.

Voters in Kenya gave President William Ruto a clear edge. The Infotrak numbers paint a picture of a leader who has clawed back ground after tough months. His support jumped from 21 percent back in August 2025 to 28 percent by December and now sits at 32 percent in this July 2026 poll. Analysts watch closely as the 2027 vote draws nearer.

How strong does Ruto look ahead of 2027?

He stands as the clear frontrunner according to the fresh data, with nearly one in three Kenyans naming him their top choice if elections happened today.

Political temperatures rose quickly after Infotrak Research and Consulting dropped the results. The poll sampled thousands of registered voters spread across all 47 counties. It captured opinions from bustling streets in Mombasa to quiet farms in the Rift Valley. Ruto gained ground even in areas that once leaned heavily against him.

Kalonzo Musyoka trails in second place with 13 percent. Edwin Sifuna and Fred Matiang’i sit tied for third, each pulling 12 percent. Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua registers just 4 percent, while other names like Babu Owino, David Maraga, and Martha Karua land even lower. Eighteen percent of those questioned said they remain undecided. Another 3 percent refused to answer.

The numbers tell a story of resilience. Ruto pushed through protests, high living costs, and coalition headaches yet emerged stronger in the eyes of many. One voter in Eldoret told pollsters the president delivered on some roads and youth jobs even if prices still bite hard. Others in Kisumu voiced frustration over taxes but admitted few alternatives inspired confidence.

Who leads the opposition race right now?

Kalonzo Musyoka holds the top spot among opposition figures with his 13 percent, ahead of the 12 percent each for Sifuna and Matiang’i.

This gap matters. Kenya heads toward 2027 with memories of the 2022 contest still fresh. Ruto defeated Raila Odinga that year after a tight race decided at the Supreme Court.

Now Raila works more closely with the government in a broad-based arrangement that reshaped the political map. That shift appears to have helped Ruto consolidate support while opposition voices scramble to unify.

Infotrak asked people about running mates too. Deputy President Kithure Kindiki scored high among those who back Ruto. On the other side, pairings like Kalonzo with Sifuna got 23 percent in hypothetical matchups. The data shows fractures in opposition ranks that could prove costly.

People close to the president celebrated the poll quietly. They point to infrastructure projects finished since 2022, from new expressways in the capital to expanded power in remote counties.

Critics fire back that inflation eroded gains for ordinary families. A teacher in Nakuru said she appreciates better internet in schools but struggles when food prices climb faster than her salary.

The survey timing carries weight. It lands just as politicians begin serious maneuvering for party tickets and alliances. Parliament debates key bills while county leaders position themselves for national roles. Ruto traveled recently to parts of Western Kenya where he picked up surprising backing even among traditional rivals.

Support varies by region. Stronger numbers for the president show up in Central Kenya and parts of the Rift. Kalonzo draws well in Eastern areas. Sifuna and Matiang’i pull urban youth in Nairobi and some Western pockets. These pockets matter because Kenya awards the presidency through a mix of national majority and county thresholds.

Experts note the 32 percent lead gives Ruto breathing room yet leaves room for surprises. Past polls shifted dramatically in the final year before voting. Economic performance between now and 2027 could swing everything. So could any major scandal or breakthrough deal on debt relief.

As weeks pass, expect more surveys and louder rallies. Parties will test messages on jobs, security, and unity. Ruto already tours counties and meets local leaders. Opposition figures hold strategy sessions behind closed doors.

Ruto built his current position through bold decisions and constant movement across the country. Whether that energy carries him to victory depends on how voters feel when they finally queue at polling stations in 2027. For now, the Infotrak results hand him the clearest advantage in a crowded field full of familiar names and fresh ambitions.